What’s Shaping the 2025 Housing Market? with Ivy Zelman



Willy was once again joined by one of the most respected voices in the housing industry, Walker & Dunlop’s Hall of Fame housing market analyst and executive vice president and co-founder of Zelman & Associates, Ivy Zelman.

They discussed Ivy’s outlook on the housing market, tariffs and the upward price impacts on the industry, the public vs. private homebuilding markets, the lock-in effect’s impact on existing inventory, home affordability issues she’s seeing, the privatization of Fannie and Freddie, the broader implications of the fires in LA, and much more.

Watch or listen to the replay.

Key Points In The Webcast:
00:00 Introduction
03:52 Overall outlook on the housing industry
05:38 How single-family mortgage rates impact absorption
07:46 The effects of losing inflation control
12:00 Public homebuilders and legal labor
14:30 Why is there so much consolidation?
17:49 The cause of the wide single-family mortgage spread
20:12 The release on the lock-in effect
24:43 Constraints on existing and new SFR supply
27:34 Are independent homebuilders more risk-averse?
30:03 Potential solutions for price relief
32:36 How higher tariffs can affect the housing market
34:23 Should Fannie and Freddie be out of the federal government?
37:39 TikTok, tax bill, and Fannie and Freddie privatization
39:38 Where the rising supply comes from
40:52 Why Zelman is outperforming other firms
42:33 Any technological shifts in homebuilding?
45:39 Manufactured housing and land entitlement
49:13 Pricing as the real problem
52:17 How the California fires will impact housing
58:17 The potential of micro units
01:02:26 Suggestions on housing for the current administration

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